The PT did what it could, did not make the wrong strategy
Many have criticized the electoral strategy of the PT, but having reached 45% of votes with Haddad and having elected 57 deputies (6 more than the party of Bolsonaro) was a phenomenal result. Recall that the PT has caused the two major corruption scandals on the planet (“mensalao” and “Lava-Jato”) and has brought the Brazilian economy to its knees with the disastrous management of Dilma Rousseff. If on the one hand Lula is the first responsible for the election of Bolsonaro, on the other hand he has succeeded once again in positioning the PT as the main antagonistic force of the new government.
The smallness and political error of Sergio Moro
Sergio Moro is rightly considered the hero of the Lava-Jato, a champion of the fight against corruption. He managed to have Lula condemned and put into prison and to decipher (though not alone, of course) the monstrous corruption scheme that blew up Petrobras. Accepting the position of Minister of Justice will give credence to the theory of the PT on his alleged political fury against Lula and other members of the party, accused of corruption. Being appointed Minister is a shortcut to becoming a member of the Federal Supreme Court (STF), in 2020: but does Sergio Moro really need to pay the price of a political sponsorship to achieve his goal? He will remain forever “The Minister of Bolsonaro”.
A "ora pro nobis" for the PSDB
At some point the PSDB management reminded me of the final scene of the movie “Trading places”, in which Mortimer and Randolph Duke, owners of a large trading agency, thinking more clever than the others, buy when the bull market and sell desperately when it’s too late. Dazed and incredulous, they lose everything. Supporting the Temer government was an act of responsibility, at a time when Brazil was in danger of sinking, but the voters did not understand it and punished the implicit “continuity” of the PSDB. In an election that turned into a referendum pro or against the PT, the PSDB found itself completely displaced, losing almost all the votes collected in 2014 with Aecio Neves. The future of the PSDB is “Bolsodoria”? I hope not …
A new way of doing political communication
By choice or necessity (I favor the second option) Bolsonaro’s communication has destroyed all the paradigms of the previous electoral campaigns. Without practically free television space, Bolsonaro has concentrated its communication via social networks, counting above all with the “forward” of its innumerable and tenacious “fans”. The hope that TV announcements would change the opinion of voters turned out to be false: electoral videos, well shot and with excellent post-production, proved to be irrelevant (see the performance of the PSDB). The videos produced by the Bolsonaro team, even after the passage to the ballot – when he conquered 50% of the free television time – have always kept a standard just above the amateur / home. And what about the unwatchable videos made by Bolsonaro with a cell phone, in a badly furnished and ill-lit room? The rejection of the old politics has been transmitted to the traditional way of making political communication. By choice or necessity, Bolsonaro has revolutionized this too.
Temer goes out with his head held high
President Temer is certainly not a saint and is still involved in the scandal of the port of Santos. His government, the result of the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff (of which Temer was vice-president, let us not forget) has reached very high unpopularity indices and has been the subject of numerous criticisms coming from all sides. But … however, in my opinion, has had great merits that can be summarized in 3 points:
– helped Brazil to exit the strong recession of 2015/2016
– had the strength to approve an important reform, such as the labor reform, and the constitutional amendment of the “PEC do Teto”, which is fundamental for the maintenance of the fiscal balance of the State
– has started the discussion of the pension reform
Temer had the ungrateful task of restoring a country without counting on the political support of a solid parliamentary majority, in a moment of serious crisis of the institutions, with public opinion always against. To direct Brazil, it has had to yield to many compromises, but it can not be denied that it has achieved the result of emerging from the crisis. The economic team of his government, which must include the Central Bank, is made up of extremely competent people who have made a great service to Brazil.